Even short-lived atmospheric greenhouse gases, like methane, leave an imprint in the oceans that can last centuries, according to a paper
published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in
January.
A hotter atmosphere warms the oceans, which expand, leading to sea level
rise. This can be a slow process. Gases can take anywhere from a decade
(methane) to 1,000 years (carbon dioxide) to transfer their energy to the
oceans. And once gases arrive there, it’s hard to get them out. The
takeaway is that if humanity stopped cranking out greenhouse gases
immediately, sea levels would still rise for centuries before the heat
dissipates through Earth’s atmosphere and into space, says study co-author
Susan Solomon, an atmospheric scientist at MIT.
The study brings grim news for low-lying islands like Tuvalu in the South
Pacific and coastal cities worldwide. “It’s not a tsunami,” Solomon says of
the watermark rise. “It’s very, very slow. But it’s inexorable.”